Julia Is Anticipated To Intensify Into A Hurricane
Caribbean Storm On Saturday afternoon, forecasters said that Julia was closing in on a number of Colombian islands and moving swiftly toward Nicaragua.
As of 5 p.m. on Saturday, the storm, which is forecast to intensify into a hurricane later that day, was located about 55 miles south of the Colombian island of Isla de San Andrés and had maximum sustained winds of 70 mph.
The storm was located around 175 miles east-northeast of Bluefields, a town on Nicaragua's east coast.
The islands of Providencia, San Andrés, and Santa Catalina were under a hurricane warning from the government of Colombia, as were other areas of Nicaragua. For the whole Pacific Coast of Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Honduras, tropical storm advisories were in force. The whole coast of El Salvador was under a tropical storm watch. The storm conditions that are forecast within 36 to 48 hours are the subject of the warnings.
As it moves through the western Caribbean Sea in a westward direction, Julia has been getting stronger. By Saturday evening, it is anticipated to become a hurricane and pass close to or over the San Andrés and Providencia islands, according to the Hurricane Center.
After that, it will probably travel more slowly across Central America, arriving at the Nicaraguan shore on Sunday morning, according to the center.
The Hurricane Center warned that regions of Central America, which could receive four to eight inches of rain and up to 15 inches in isolated spots, might experience flash flooding and mudslides as a result of heavy rainfall.
Forecasters warned that a storm surge could cause massive, destructive waves and boost water levels four to six feet above average tide along Nicaragua's coast.
The storm's swells are already having an impact on Jamaica and were forecast to produce dangerous rip current and surf conditions.
According to the United Nations, Hurricane Iota ravaged Providencia, the island in Colombia that was under a hurricane alert, in 2020.
Although there was little human casualty, the United Nations stated that the impact on the island's priceless ecosystems "profoundly impacted the outlook of its residents." "Two years later, they are still struggling to recover their environmental assets and getting ready for the next challenge that climate change may bring."
The Colombian government was keeping an eye on the storm's development to determine how it could assist the Caribbean.
Gustavo Petro, the president of Colombia, declared on Twitter on Saturday, "We are on highest alert."
He gave hotels the go-ahead to make room for anyone who needed to find sanctuary in the impacted areas.
On Saturday morning, El Salvador's Ministry of Public Works had equipment and technicians ready to respond to storm-related issues.
The department posted a message on Twitter that read, "We are all organized to accomplish work that protects lives."
Ten days after Hurricane Ian made landfall in Florida, Julia formed. According to state and local officials, Ian plowed across the state as a strong Category 4 hurricane, wrecking infrastructure, flooding the area, knocking off power, and killing at least 120 people.
Ian came after a relatively calm start to the Atlantic hurricane season, which lasts from June to November and later strengthened again to a hurricane before making landfall in South Carolina. For the first time since 1997, there were only three named storms before September 1 and none in August.
Early in September, Danielle, Earl, and Ian all developed within a single day of one another, kicking off a surge in storm activity.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's meteorologists adjusted their prognosis for the remainder of the season in early August, although they continued to call for above-average levels of activity.
According to their forecast, the season, which lasts through Nov. 30, may see 14 to 20 named storms, with six to ten of those developing into hurricanes with speeds of at least 74 mph. Three to five of those might develop into significant hurricanes, or Category 3 or stronger storms with winds of at least 111 mph, according to NOAA.
After a record 30 storms in 2020, there were 21 named storms last year. Meteorologists have run out of names to use to describe storms during the Atlantic hurricane season for the past two years; this has only happened once before, in 2005.
With each passing year, the connections between hurricanes and climate change have become more obvious. According to data, hurricanes have grown more powerful globally over the last forty years.
Over time, a warming globe should expect bigger hurricanes and a greater frequency of the most powerful storms, however the total number of storms may decline due of variables like stronger wind shear that may prevent the formation of weaker storms.
Because of the increased water vapor in the warmer atmosphere, hurricanes are also becoming wetter; according to experts, storms like Hurricane Harvey in 2017 produced far more rain than they otherwise would have. Additionally, storm surge, the most devastating component of tropical cyclones, is increasing as a result of rising sea levels.
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